Six Reasons Why A Smart Bet Losers NFL
Underdog or favorite? It's a choice we make 16 times a week during the NFL regular season. There are certainly times when favorites warrant our attention, my experience tells me that Paris is losing the best way to make money in the NFL. Here are six reasons why you should pay particular attention to the dogs this season in the NFL.
First NFL Parity
The NFL has taken great steps to get a rough equality of the team. It was a success. Just look at those Super Bowl teams for several years in St. Louis in 2000, in Baltimore in 2001, in New England in 2002 to Tampa Bay in 2003, and Carolina last year. None of these teams had to do so far, but all have won and many, despite the loss the previous year's data. Unlike the college game any team can win on Sunday, the NFL. Why not get some points to boot?
2. A win is a win
Again, unlike college, there is no need to break a team. Favorite risers do not work usually features in the NFL. It serves a purpose and in most cases, coaches prefer not to embarrass their opponents and / or risk of injury to their star. In the NFL, it often takes large decrease, with the losers that covers the end of the game.
The third effect of Rodney Dangerfield
Oppressed have no respect, not to the public, sometimes leading to higher than deserved spreads. More importantly, do not get it from their opposition. Good teams can sometimes take bad teams lightly (especially if players and coaches are on the minds of others, as toughest opponent next week). Research and understanding of historical trends can reveal situations in which foreigners are prepared for a surprise.
4. People do not help
The average player loves the popular teams (favorites), often pushes the lines of excessively high. We saw it during the 90 with Dallas and San Francisco. In fact, almost every week, with the right research, you can see the teams that should be favored, but getting points against a team that has been installed the popular favorite because of the public "bandwagon effect". For example, last year in Kansas City, visited Cincinnati in week 10. Chiefs had won nine straight, and seemed invincible. As a result, Cincinnati was easy to take the loser. Kansas City's defense was ranked twenty-fifth time in the league. Cincinnati was a roll after winning three of their last four games, and Rudi Johnson was coming to them. Cincinnati had the emotional edge and nothing to lose the shot at undefeated team, they knew they could win. However, the public could not exceed the success of Kansas City and the position in this situation.
5. Value?
Most players do not have the guts to go with some losers. They see a team (perceived) good team against a (perceived) bad and assume that it is not a competition. They have formed an opinion about how horrible some teams are based on an eruption recent or past personal gambling loss. Again, with the right combination of statistical research and the situation, some undervalued dogs discovered every week. There are also some situations in which bad teams have historically reliable and outperformed their average. Match it with a situation in which historically documented favorites underperform and you have yourself a reliable scenario sorry.
6. Matters point spread less than you think
Historically, the point spread in the NFL, only about 16% of the time. In other words, 84% of the time, the team covers the spread to win. This information, if you have the underdogs you like (based on a real research, not a suggestion), we can bring them up to win (Moneyline), collecting anywhere from 1.2 to 4 times the original bet. Generally, a three-point dog to pay a total of about 140 100 straight-up wins against 100 110 wagered on a normal distribution-based pickup. The seven-point underdogs to pay about 250 100 live to win.
What all this means
Obviously, we all lose playing is not the answer (which earns about 50% and a negative balance of the account). However, with the right research, you can see the strange high value on winning week.
Pictures/SnapShot :
First NFL Parity
The NFL has taken great steps to get a rough equality of the team. It was a success. Just look at those Super Bowl teams for several years in St. Louis in 2000, in Baltimore in 2001, in New England in 2002 to Tampa Bay in 2003, and Carolina last year. None of these teams had to do so far, but all have won and many, despite the loss the previous year's data. Unlike the college game any team can win on Sunday, the NFL. Why not get some points to boot?
2. A win is a win
Again, unlike college, there is no need to break a team. Favorite risers do not work usually features in the NFL. It serves a purpose and in most cases, coaches prefer not to embarrass their opponents and / or risk of injury to their star. In the NFL, it often takes large decrease, with the losers that covers the end of the game.
The third effect of Rodney Dangerfield
Oppressed have no respect, not to the public, sometimes leading to higher than deserved spreads. More importantly, do not get it from their opposition. Good teams can sometimes take bad teams lightly (especially if players and coaches are on the minds of others, as toughest opponent next week). Research and understanding of historical trends can reveal situations in which foreigners are prepared for a surprise.
4. People do not help
The average player loves the popular teams (favorites), often pushes the lines of excessively high. We saw it during the 90 with Dallas and San Francisco. In fact, almost every week, with the right research, you can see the teams that should be favored, but getting points against a team that has been installed the popular favorite because of the public "bandwagon effect". For example, last year in Kansas City, visited Cincinnati in week 10. Chiefs had won nine straight, and seemed invincible. As a result, Cincinnati was easy to take the loser. Kansas City's defense was ranked twenty-fifth time in the league. Cincinnati was a roll after winning three of their last four games, and Rudi Johnson was coming to them. Cincinnati had the emotional edge and nothing to lose the shot at undefeated team, they knew they could win. However, the public could not exceed the success of Kansas City and the position in this situation.
5. Value?
Most players do not have the guts to go with some losers. They see a team (perceived) good team against a (perceived) bad and assume that it is not a competition. They have formed an opinion about how horrible some teams are based on an eruption recent or past personal gambling loss. Again, with the right combination of statistical research and the situation, some undervalued dogs discovered every week. There are also some situations in which bad teams have historically reliable and outperformed their average. Match it with a situation in which historically documented favorites underperform and you have yourself a reliable scenario sorry.
6. Matters point spread less than you think
Historically, the point spread in the NFL, only about 16% of the time. In other words, 84% of the time, the team covers the spread to win. This information, if you have the underdogs you like (based on a real research, not a suggestion), we can bring them up to win (Moneyline), collecting anywhere from 1.2 to 4 times the original bet. Generally, a three-point dog to pay a total of about 140 100 straight-up wins against 100 110 wagered on a normal distribution-based pickup. The seven-point underdogs to pay about 250 100 live to win.
What all this means
Obviously, we all lose playing is not the answer (which earns about 50% and a negative balance of the account). However, with the right research, you can see the strange high value on winning week.
Pictures/SnapShot :
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